31/60 Report of the Independent Expert on the effects of foreign debt and other related international financial obligations of States on the full enjoyment of human rights, particularly economic, social and cultural rights
Document Type: Final Report
Date: 2016 Jan
Session: 31st Regular Session (2016 Feb)
Agenda Item:
Human Rights Council Thirty-first session
Agenda item 3
Promotion and protection of all human rights, civil,
political, economic, social and cultural rights,
including the right to development
Report of the Independent Expert on the effects of foreign debt and other related international financial obligations of States on the full enjoyment of human rights, particularly economic, social and cultural rights
Note by the Secretariat
The Secretariat has the honour to transmit to the Human Rights Council the thematic
report of the Independent Expert on the effects of foreign debt and other related
international financial obligations of States on the full enjoyment of all human rights,
particularly economic, social and cultural rights, Juan Pablo Bohoslavsky, prepared
pursuant to Council resolution 25/16.
In the report, the Independent Expert explores the interrelationships between income
and wealth inequality, on the one hand, and financial crises, on the other, and their
implications for the enjoyment of human rights. He illustrates how increased levels of such
inequalities may contribute to increases in sovereign debt that may subsequently degenerate
into financial crises. Furthermore, he examines the reverse relationship by assessing the
distributional impact of financial crises and points to severe adverse effects on the
enjoyment of human rights. He concludes with a set of policy recommendations designed to
target economic inequality as a pressing human rights issue and a factor contributing to the
emergence of financial crises.
Report of the Independent Expert on the effects of foreign debt and other related international financial obligations of States on the full enjoyment of human rights, particularly economic, social and cultural rights
Contents
Page
I. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 3
II. Why must inequality be considered from a human rights perspective? .......................................... 4
III. Addressing central questions: how do inequality and debt crises interact? ...................................... 8
A. Inequality as a source of sovereign debt increase and crisis ................................................... 8
B. Impact of financial and sovereign debt crisis on inequalities ................................................. 13
IV. Conclusions and recommendations ................................................................................................. 17
A. Conclusions ............................................................................................................................ 17
B. Recommendations ................................................................................................................... 18
I. Introduction
1. Severe economic inequality frequently affects the enjoyment of particular civil,
political or social, economic and cultural rights as well as the principle of non-
discrimination enshrined in all international human rights treaties. Human rights law
imposes certain legal obligations on States to address economic inequalities affecting the
enjoyment of human rights and bestows effectual guidance for reducing inequalities,
including prioritization of policy responses in this field. Human rights mechanisms have
therefore recently paid increased attention to economic inequality and human rights.1
2. Furthermore, a better understanding of the negative effects of increased economic
inequality on social development has recently emerged. For example, States have made
reducing inequality within and among countries Goal 10 of the Sustainable Development
Goals, which includes not only the promotion of the social, economic and political
inclusion of all, irrespective of age, sex, disability, race, ethnicity, origin, religion or
economic or other status, but also the adoption of fiscal, wage and social policies to
progressively achieve greater equality and better regulation of global financial markets and
institutions.
3. Yet, there is one particular facet of inequality that has been frequently neglected: the
linkages among economic inequality, financial crises and human rights. There is
widespread acknowledgement that financial crises and adjustment programmes adopted in
their response not only impair a country’s general economic performance, but also
frequently increase inequality and have a negative impact on socioeconomic outcomes and
particularly on vulnerable populations. However, the notion that inequality may also be an
important contributing factor to the emergence of financial crises has only recently gained
wider attention. In the present report, the Independent Expert on the effects of foreign debt
and other related international financial obligations of States on the full enjoyment of all
human rights, particularly economic, social and cultural rights, will offer reflections on both
dimensions, exploring answers to the following questions: does inequality lead to more
financial instability? Does financial instability lead to higher levels of inequality? What are
the impacts on human rights of increased inequality? And, finally, what guidance does
human rights law provide for addressing inequality?
4. In so doing, the report will be exclusively devoted to the relationship between
human rights and economic inequality, and specifically income and wealth inequality.
Hence, the term “inequality” employed in the report, unless otherwise qualified, should be
understood as referring to these types of inequality.2
1 See, for example, the report of the Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights
(A/HRC/29/31).
2 Moreover, while both income and wealth inequality relate to economic disparities, there are important
differences between the two aspects. Inequality in wealth appears to be more pronounced in many
countries and in the world generally. Policy responses designed to address wealth inequality on the
one hand and income inequality on the other hand may differ. Therefore, the report clearly
distinguishes between those two forms of inequality where necessary. However, if such distinction is
not expressly made, then the term “inequality” encompasses both forms of economic inequality.
II. Why must inequality be considered from a human rights perspective?
5. For several years, increased attention has been paid to the continued rise in income
and wealth inequalities. In this context, top incomes dramatically increased from the 1980s,
mostly in developed countries but also in emerging economies, such as India and China.3 In
addition to wealth transmitted through inheritance, top wages have increased dramatically,
outpacing increases in average wages many times and resulting in an unprecedented
accumulation of wealth by a small but powerful elite.4
6. Global inequality currently stands at extremely high levels and is further increasing.
The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) has reported that the richest 8 per
cent of the world’s population earns half of the world’s total income, leaving the other half
for the remaining 92 per cent.5 Over the past two decades, income inequality has increased
by 9 per cent in developed countries and 11 per cent in developing countries.6 In 2015, the
richest 1 per cent of people in the world owned more than 50 per cent of global wealth, up
from 44 per cent in 2010.7 Furthermore, the 80 richest individuals currently own as much
wealth as the bottom 50 per cent of the entire global population.8
7. International human rights law addresses inequality on many levels. First, there are
economic and social rights that clearly recognize the duties of States to address and/or
prevent inequality as a threat to human rights realization. These include fundamental
worker’s rights — in particular the right to form and join trade unions and the right to fair
remuneration — and social rights — in particular the rights to education, health and social
security.9
8. Moreover, the principles of non-discrimination and equality apply in the context of
socioeconomic disadvantages. All international and regional human rights treaties include a
broadly constructed principle of non-discrimination,10 that covers formal discrimination on
prohibited grounds in law or official policy documents as well as substantive
discrimination, meaning discrimination in practice and in outcomes. For example, States
have certain obligations to ensure equal access to health services, adequate housing and
water and sanitation.11 The prohibition of discrimination extends not only to the grounds
explicitly enumerated in article 2 (2) of the International Covenant on Economic, Social
and Cultural Rights, such as race, colour, sex or religion, but also to grounds based
exclusively on economic and social status.12
3 See A.B. Atkinson, T. Piketty and E. Saez, “Top income in the long run history”, Journal of
Economic Literature, vol. 49, No. 1, pp. 3-71.
4 See T. Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century, (Cambridge, Massachusetts, Harvard University
Press, 2014).
5 See UNDP, Humanity Divided: Confronting Inequality in Developing Countries (New York, 2013).
6 Ibid., p. 7, using the Gini coefficient.
7 See “Global wealth report”, Credit Suisse Research Institute, pp. 19 and 21 (2015).
8 See “Wealth: having it all and wanting more”, Oxfam issue briefing, pp. 2 and 3 (2015).
9 See Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, general comments No. 13, para. 6 (b) (iii);
No. 14, para. 19; and No. 19, paras. 16 and 25.
10 See, for example, article 2 (1) of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights or article 2
(2) of the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights; article 14 of the European
Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms; and article 1 (1) of the
American Convention on Human Rights.
11 See Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, general comment No. 20 (2009) on non-
discrimination in economic, social and cultural rights, among other general comments.
12 Ibid., para 35.
9. While human rights law does not necessarily imply a perfectly equal distribution of
income and wealth, it does require conditions in which rights can be fully exercised. As a
consequence, a certain level of distribution of resources is expected to guarantee individuals
an equal enjoyment of the realization of their basic rights without resulting in
discriminatory outcomes.13 When income inequality creates discriminatory outcomes, it
becomes a human rights issue. States can make an important contribution to overcoming
discrimination by ensuring equal opportunity for all members of society. However, the
notion of equal opportunity resembles a myth in many countries and situations, and many
people in the world do not have reasonable means for overcoming socioeconomic
handicaps.14
10. Inequality implies a violation of the rights enshrined in the Covenant when a
significant number of individuals within a society cannot enjoy minimum essential levels of
each of the rights enumerated in the Covenant, while other individuals within the society
have more than sufficient resources available to guarantee a basic enjoyment of those
rights. The violation in such cases appears to be twofold: States may fail to meet their
minimum core obligations and to mobilize maximum available resources for the
progressive realization of rights, as explained below.
11. According to the views of the Committee on Social, Economic and Cultural Rights,
when a significant number of individuals living in a State party are deprived of critical
foodstuffs, essential primary health care, basic shelter and housing or the most
indispensable forms of education, there is a prima facie case of failing to discharge its
obligations under the Covenant.15 It should be noted that the minimum income necessary
for the enjoyment of such essential levels of economic, social and cultural rights may differ
from one individual to the other — an aged and sick person may potentially need more
resources to enjoy effective access to adequate health care and medication than a healthy
young person — and from one country to the other. In essence, international human rights
norms require States to ensure that all persons residing in their territory live in conditions of
dignity.
12. States are furthermore obliged to use maximum available resources for the
progressive realization of economic, social and cultural rights. Progressive realization
implies that States have to ensure the enjoyment of minimum essential levels of rights on a
non-discriminatory basis first and without retrogression. It is the view of the Independent
Expert that States may also fail to use their maximum available resources if they neglect to
undertake reasonable efforts to ensure domestic revenue generation and redistribution to
address income inequality that violates human rights, such as if a State fails to address
inequality through appropriate taxation or social policies.16
13. To reduce the concept of “maximum available resources” to only those resources on
the balance sheet of the treasury would be contrary to the purpose of the Covenant and the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which guarantees to every person a life in dignity
and freedom from fear and want. Maximum available resources also encompass those
13 See R. Balakrishnan, J. Heintz and D. Elson, “What does inequality have to do with human rights?”,
Political Economy Research Institute, Working Paper Series No. 392 (2015), p. 16.
14 J.E. Stiglitz, The Price of Inequality: How Today’s Divided Society Endangers Our Future (New
York, W.W. Norton and Company, 2012), p. 18.
15 See Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, general comment No. 3 on the nature of
States parties’ obligations, para. 10.
16 See “Política fiscal y derechos humanos en las Américas: movilizar los recursos para garantizar los
derechos”, thematic report submitted by civil society organizations to the Inter-American
Commission on Human Rights, October 2015. Available in Spanish from
www.cesr.org/downloads/cidh_fiscalidad_ddhh_oct2015.pdf.
resources that a State can reasonably generate through adequate, appropriate and fair
taxation of individuals and corporations or through the levying of tariffs.
14. In addition, it should be noted that article 2 (1) of the Covenant explicitly refers to
those resources that can be made available through international assistance and cooperation,
in particular economic and technical assistance. It also extends to an obligation to create an
international enabling environment conducive to the universal fulfilment of human rights.
This international terrain includes bilateral and multilateral trade, investment, taxation,
finance, environmental protection and development cooperation. In other words, human
rights law requires a certain degree of redistribution of resources and support based on
available capacities within and among nations. This encompasses an organization of the
local and global economies that prevents and eradicates extreme poverty.17 Violations of
this principle are pervasive: With 795 million people worldwide being undernourished, at
least one out of nine persons on Earth is currently excluded from enjoying essential
minimum levels of the right to food.18 The United Nations Human Settlements Programme
has estimated that close to one billion people currently do not have adequate housing but
instead often live in informal settlements in developing countries.19 Inequalities within and
among nations are an important contributing factor to these unsettling outcomes. Inequality
is both a cause and a symptom of massive violations of economic, social and cultural rights.
15. Economic inequality also matters from a human rights perspective when it translates
into other types of inequalities. The enjoyment of human rights does not depend only on
access to goods and services reflecting the minimum needed for survival; an individual’s
access to resources relative to others is also of crucial importance. Data suggests that high
levels of relative inequality may have substantial negative effects on the practice of human
rights. It has been observed that low-income households in a very unequal society may do
worse than households with the identical income in a more equal society.20 This pattern is
obvious in numerous areas, including legal representation, education, political influence,
health, housing and social discrimination that can escalate into conflict.
16. To illustrate, a poor domestic worker may not be able to sue his or her employer to
challenge an unfair unilaterally imposed pay cut, both because labour rights may not be
institutionalized in the State and because legal representation is not affordable. Continuing
to work in unfair conditions or quitting the job may be the only viable options, which is a
choice that can beget oppression, particularly when market conditions of high
unemployment make replacing employees rather easy.
17. Likewise, people in poverty may not be able to afford higher education because of
prohibitively high tuition fees, the need to work for immediate income and the inability to
17 See principle 29 of the Maastricht Principles on Extraterritorial Obligations of States in the Area of
Economic, Social and Cultural Rights.
18 See Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), The State of Food Insecurity in
the World, Meeting the 2015 international hunger targets: taking stock of uneven progress (Rome,
2015), p. 8. FAO employs a narrow definition of undernourishment, which has faced heavy criticism
for masking the magnitude of the hunger problem, see F.M. Lappé et al., “How we count hunger
matters”, Ethics and International Affairs, vol. 27 No. 3 (2013), pp. 251-259.
19 See http://mirror.unhabitat.org/content.asp?cid=11848&catid=746&typeid=24&subMenuId=0.
20 See R. Balakrishnan, J. Heintz and D. Elson, “What does inequality have to do with human rights?”,
Political Economy Research Institute, Working Paper Series No. 392 (2015). See also R. Wilkinson
and K. Pickett, The Spirit Level: Why More Equality Societies Almost Always Do Better (New York,
Bloomsbury Press, 2009).
move themselves out of unskilled positions, which can also become a multigenerational
trap.21
18. It is also common for poorer segments of the population to be marginalized or even
effectively excluded from the political process. As noted by the Special Rapporteur on
extreme poverty and human rights, Philip Alston, economic and social inequalities often
reinforce one another “when individuals with higher incomes or their family members have
more political power or access to better education than those with lower incomes”.22 In
failing to recognize the connection between social and economic inequalities, there is a risk
of political capture of the political system by economic elites, effectively undermining the
right to vote and the principle of democracy.
19. Equally significant is that those on the high end of the income and wealth divide
become less dependent on public goods and services because they have the means to
purchase private alternatives. At the same time, the poor are getting more dependent on
public services, as private alternatives become less affordable for them. As soon as the
more affluent and powerful groups in society cease to depend on public goods and services,
the State is less likely investing in public, collective goods, leading to a vicious circle of
their degeneration.
20. Moreover, countries suffering from high levels of inequality have worse health
outcomes compared to other countries with a similar gross domestic product (GDP).23 For
example, there is a strong positive correlation between rates of child mortality and
inequality among countries at similar levels of development. Also, inequality may impair
the availability of adequate housing for low-income households.24
21. Inequality often contributes to social exclusion and marginalization of certain groups
and individuals. In addition, if inequality entrenches social cleavages along regional,
religious, racial or ethnic lines, social instability and violent internal conflict are more
frequent.25 It has recently been noted that “[w]hen the poor are from one race, ethnicity,
religion or region and the rich are from another, a lethal, destabilizing dynamic often
emerges”.26 Inequality not only increases the risk of economic and social rights violations,
but also augments the likelihood of severe violations of civil and political rights.27
21 For more information on the negative effect of income inequality on the right to education, see the
report of the Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights (A/HRC/29/31, para. 30).
22 Ibid., para. 6.
23 See R. Wilkinson and K. Pickett, The Spirit Level: Why More Equality Societies Almost Always Do
Better (New York, Bloomsbury Press, 2009).
24 See J. Matlack and J. Vigor, “Do rising tides lift all prices? Income inequality and housing
affordability”, Journal of Housing Economics, vol. 17, No. 3 (2008), pp. 212-224.
25 See L.E. Cederman, N.B. Weidmann and K. Skrede Gleditsch, “Horizontal inequalities and
ethnonationalist civil war: a global comparison”, American Political Science Review, vol. 105,
No. 3 (2011), pp. 487-89.
26 See M.W. Doyle and J.E. Stiglitz, “Eliminating extreme inequality: a sustainable development goal,
2015-2030”, Ethics and International Affairs, vol. 28, No. 1 (2014).
27 See T. Landman and M. Larizza, “Inequality and human rights: who controls what, when, and how”,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 53, No. 3 (2009), pp. 715-736.
III. Addressing central questions: how do inequality and debt crises interact?28
A. Inequality as a source of sovereign debt increase and crisis
22. Inequality may affect sovereign debt both directly and indirectly. In short, the direct
impact proceeds from the “corrosive” influence of inequality on the tax base, as well as
from its enhancing effect on demand for redistribution through debt default. As for the
indirect impact, it is mainly private debt that acts as an interface between inequality and
sovereign debt. Increasing inequality may lead to private overborrowing and overlending.
The resulting excessive private leverage can accumulate over many years, destabilize the
financial system29 and even become so volatile for the economy that the debt can trigger a
banking crisis, leading to both output losses and massive bailout costs for Governments. In
addition, both the direct and the indirect channel may simultaneously prompt a currency
crisis if external debt is involved.
1. Inequality as a direct cause of sovereign debt increase and financial crises
23. Inequality may exert a considerable direct influence on the structure and the level of
government revenues and spending. Increased levels of inequality also mean that the
income tax base of the State concerned is rather small, at least if income taxation is not
progressive. This diminishes sovereign revenues and consequently makes the State more
dependent on borrowing. Thus inequality contributes in many cases to sovereign debt,
which may eventually result in sovereign default and financial crises. There is a growing
body of evidence for this mechanism.
24. Empirical studies point to a clear nexus between inequality, income tax base and
sovereign debt. One study, using data from 50 countries in 2007, 2009 and 2011, found a
negative correlation between income inequality and the tax base and a positive correlation
with sovereign debt.30 An analysis of a panel of 17 countries of the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) covering the period 1974-2005 found a
positive correlation between the top 1 per cent income share, a widely used indicator of
income inequality, and fiscal deficit.31 The erosion of the income tax base following an
increase in inequality is also likely to affect the structure of tax revenue. The alternative to
experiencing a fiscal deficit would be to increase other types of taxes, such as import or
export duties and indirect or corporate taxes. This would, however, lead to higher revenue
volatility, consequently increasing the risk of sovereign debt crisis.
25. Increased inequality is also found to contribute to the degeneration of sovereign debt
into sovereign debt crises. A number of studies show that high inequality increases the
28 For a detailed overview of the interrelationships between inequality and financial crises, see R.
Bazillier and J. Hericourt in “The circular relationship between inequality, leverage and financial
crisis”, Laboratoire d’Économie d’Orléans, (University of Orleans, 2015). The Independent Expert
wishes to thank the authors of that article for having prepared a background research paper for the
present report.
29 See M. Kumhof, R. Rancière and P. Winant, “Inequality, leverage and crises”, American Economic
Review, vol. 105, No. 3 (2015), pp. 1217-1245.
30 See J. Aizenman and Y. Jinjarak, “Income Inequality, Tax Base and Sovereign Spreads”,
FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, vol. 68, No. 4 (2012), pp. 431-444.
31 See S. Milasi, “Top income shares and budget deficits”, Centre for Economic and International
Studies, Research Paper Series, vol. 10, issue 11, No. 249 (August 2013).
probability of default significantly.32 In one research paper, it was emphasized that sudden,
rapid rises in inequality, in particular, can considerably increase the sovereign default risk.
The authors specify that such “inequality shocks” generate a far higher probability of
default than collapses of domestic production of the same scale.33 Several authors have also
established that progressive income taxes, which decrease income inequality, can decrease
the default risk.34
26. One explanation for these links focuses on the incentives of the government to reap
the short-term gains of a default. By defaulting, the government may obtain new fiscal
freedom — even if this freedom might be short-lived — permitting tax cuts or spending
increases to the benefit of the poorer. These benefits are considered greater in more unequal
societies with a larger number of low-income households.35 At the same time, owing to the
higher probability that a government in highly unequal States may decide to default, lenders
may accept only lower levels of aggregate debt before they sharply raise interest rates or
even refuse to issue further credit.36 According to some authors, the levels of debt lenders
deem acceptable differ for domestic and foreign debt, the letter being decidedly lower.37
This indicates that external debt is per se an important factor that may cause sovereign
default.
27. Yet, in the long run, default normally implies future costs owing to a (temporary)
exclusion from financial markets. As the government cannot use any more debt to smooth
taxes, it is forced to adjust its tax revenues to any short-term fluctuation. The resulting
volatile taxation harms poorer households in particular. The more numerous they are, the
larger the future costs of default therefore become. However, the incentives to default tend
to dominate the second in very unequal societies; hence, economies with more progressive
taxation have less incentive to default.
2. Inequality as an indirect cause of sovereign debt increase and financial crises
28. Inequality can also indirectly contribute to increased sovereign debt and
consequently to sovereign debt crises. There are at least two avenues to such outcomes: (a)
high levels of inequality contribute significantly to the generation and increase of private
debt, with strong interrelationships between excessive private debt, sovereign debt and
financial crises; and (b) inequality adversely affects social and political stability, thereby
hampering growth and eventually affecting both government revenue and spending.
32 See A. Berg and J. Sachs, “The debt crisis structural explanations of country performance”, Journal
of Development Economics, vol. 29, No. 3 (1988), pp. 271-306; J. Sachs, “The debt overhang of
developing countries”, Debt, Stabilization and Development: Essays in Memory of Carlos Diaz
Alejandro (Oxford, 1989) and the papers referred to in footnotes 33-37.
33 See K. Jeon and Z. Kabukcuoglu, “Income inequality and sovereign default”, working paper
(University of Pittsburgh, 2015).
34 Ibid.; see also A. Ferriere, “Sovereign default, inequality and progressive taxation”, job market paper
(New York University, 2014).
35 See A. Ferriere, ibid.; and Y.K. Kim, “Inequality and sovereign default under democracy”, European
Journal of Economic and Political Studies, vol. 6, No. 1 (2013), pp. 5-40. It is important to note that a
default does not imply per se negative consequences for the population. It is mainly the fiscal
retrenchment following the default — because the government cannot anymore borrow on financial
markets — which impacts negatively the people’s human rights.
36 See A. Dovis, M. Golosov and A. Shourideh, “Political economy of sovereign debt: cycles of debt
crisis and inequality overhang”, mimeo (2015).
37 See C.M. Reinhart, K.S. Rogoff and M.A. Savastano, “Debt intolerance”, Brookings Papers on
Economic Activity, vol. 34, No. 1 (Brookings Institution, 2003), pp. 1-74.
Interrelationships between private debt, sovereign debt and financial crises
29. A boom in private debt is usually considered a more accurate predictor of financial
instability than the level or development of sovereign debt.38 However, sovereign debt may
be, depending on the circumstances, a major factor for triggering or worsening financial
crisis. For example, excessive sovereign debt in some countries has been a prominent
contributor to the recent global financial crisis. Public and private debts are linked in many
ways, often reinforcing the other’s negative effects, which may be described as a diabolical
loop between both.39 Even when financial crises are not necessarily driven by public debt,
such debt has an impact on the aftermath of crises, leading to more prolonged periods of
economic depression.40
30. The consequences of a financial crisis on public finances are immense.
Nationalization of private debts along with bailout and recapitalizing costs for the banking
system have contributed to an explosion of sovereign debt. Even more important factors to
the aggregation of sovereign debt are generally the fall in production, the consecutive
contraction in the tax base and countercyclical policies set to fight the downturn resulting in
higher government spending. If the country instead uses consolidation policies to reduce its
debt, this often turns out counterproductive because of a negative impact of reduced
government spending on economic growth and employment, as the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) has recently acknowledged.41
31. There are several channels through which inequality affects private debt and
financial crises. As a starting point, it is noteworthy that household debt and top income
share — a standard indicator of inequality — are strongly correlated: in many countries,
household debt and top income share have grown simultaneously and at similar pace over
many years.42 Recent research has focused on credit demand and supply channels for
explaining the nexus between private debt and inequality.
32. According to the credit-demand line of reasoning, private debt increases as
households try to maintain certain absolute or relative levels of consumption, while facing
growing inequality.43 In other words, people borrow more extensively to maintain their
absolute or relative standard of living. Data collected for the United States of America
confirm this interpretation: a study from 2006 revealed that, over the previous 25 years,
income inequalities in the United States had increased without being followed by an
increase in consumption inequalities.44 Some explain this as a result of a higher dispersion
of transitory income, but it appears likely that massive permanent income shifts play a more
38 See M. Schularik and A.M. Taylor, “Credit booms gone bust: monetary policy, leverage cycles and
financial crises, 1870-2008”, American Economic Review, vol. 102, No. 2 (2012), pp. 1029-1061.
39 See M. Brunnermeier et al, “European Safe Bonds” (Euro-nomics group, 2011).
40 See O. Jordà, M. Schularick and A.M. Taylor, “Sovereigns versus banks: credit, crises and
consequences”, working paper No. 19506 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2013).
41 See IMF, World Economic Outlook 2012: Coping with High Debt and Sluggish Growth, World
Economic and Financial Surveys (Washington, D.C., 2012); and N. Batini, L. Eyraud, L. Forni and A.
Weber, “Fiscal multipliers: size, determinants and use in macroeconomic projections”, IMF technical
notes and manuals No. 14) (Washington, D.C., 2014).
42 See Bazillier and Hericourt, “The circular relationship between inequality, leverage and financial
crisis” (footnote 28).
43 See J.K. Galbraith, Inequality and Instability, A Study of the World Economy Just Before the Great
Crisis (Oxford, 2012).
44 See D. Krueger and F. Peri, “Does income inequality lead to consumption inequality? Evidence and
theory”, Review of Economic Studies, vol. 73, No. 1 (2006), pp. 163-193.
prominent role here.45 In particular, the observation that the debt-to-income ratio of the top
5 per cent and bottom 95 per cent households has undergone a dramatic reversion between
1983 and 2007 supports the latter view. 29
Also, a negative link between income inequality
and social mobility was found by analysing a sample of 16 countries.46 For numerous
developing and developed countries, it has also been shown that the increase in inequality
was mainly due to an increase in between-group inequality, reflecting permanent income
shocks.47 Explanations for persistent borrowing by low- and middle-income households
despite growing income inequality can be found in several variants of the relative income
hypothesis, according to which household consumption is a function of the household’s
position in the income distribution and its past levels of consumption.48
33. Another theory connects inequality, credit demand and monetary policy. It holds that
highly unequal income distribution leads to overreliance on investment and luxury
consumption. This may not be sufficient for a sustainable level of economic output,
prompting low interest rates which itself allows private debt to increase beyond sustainable
levels.49
34. In turn, the rise in the incomes of the richest will also increase their savings, leading
to a huge accumulation of private wealth. This rising supply of capital requires more
investment opportunities and consequently boosts the credit supply, even for riskier
borrowers.50 Moreover, a possible consequence of this accumulation of private wealth is
creditor-led lobbying to favour policies that may lead banks to issue risky loans and
eventually to a massive distribution of subprime loans to low income individuals. It has
been argued that “growing income inequality in the United States … led to political
pressure for more housing credit”, which eventually “distorted lending in the financial
sector”.51
35. It seems likely that the credit demand and credit supply channel are activated
simultaneously. Other factors also play an important role.52 A general shift towards a
45 See R.A. Moffitt and P. Gottschalk, “Trends in the transitory variance of male earnings in the United
States, 1970-2004”, working paper No. 16833 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2011); and
M. Iacoviello, “Household debt and income inequality, 1963-2003”, Journal of Money, Credit and
Banking, vol. 40, No. 5 (2008), pp. 929-965.
46 See D. Andrews and A. Leigh, “More inequality, less social mobility”, Applied Economics Letters,
vol. 16, No. 15 (2009), pp. 1489-1492.
47 Ibid; see also R. Kanbur, C. Rhee and J. Zhuang, “Rising inequality in Asia and policy implications”,
macroeconomics working paper No. 23973 (East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, 2014).
48 See T. van Treeck, “Did inequality cause the United States financial crisis?”, Journal of Economic
Survey, vol. 28 No. 3 (2014), pp. 421-448; and R.H. Frank, A.S. Levine and O. Dijk, “Expenditure
cascades”, Review of Behavioral Economics, vol. 1, Nos. 1 and 2 (2014), pp. 55-73.
49 See J.-P. Fitousso and F. Saraceno, “How deep is a crisis? Policy responses and structural factors
behind diverging performances”, working document No. 2009-31 (Observatoire français des
conjonctures économiques, 2009); and A.B. Atkinson and S. Morelli, “Economic crises and
inequality”, Human Development Research Paper No. 2011/06, (United Nations Development
Programme, 2011).
50 See P. Lysandrou, “Global inequality, wealth concentration and the subprime crisis: a Marxian
commodity theory analysis”, Development and Change, vol. 42, No. 1 (2011), pp. 183-208. See also
M. Kumhof et al, “Inequality, leverage and crises” (footnote 29).
51 See R.G. Rajan, Fault Lines: How hidden fractures still threaten the world economy, (Princeton,
2010); see also Galbraith, Inequality and Instability (footnote 43).
52 See Bazillier and Hericourt, “The circular relationship between inequality, leverage and financial
crisis” (footnote 28).
radical free-market stance,53 the prevalent finance-led model of growth and the
accompanying deregulation of the financial sector even seem to be main factors explaining
the global financial and economic crises that began in 2007, which is often labelled the
“Great Recession”.54 The decline of workers’ bargaining power owing to labour market
flexibility and wage moderation has possibly contributed to the demand side described
above. Financial liberalization and deregulation explain, besides the growing wealth at the
top, increased credit supply.55
36. Based on the theoretical considerations above, it is not surprising that an
examination of 18 OECD countries over the period 1970-2007 revealed a positive link
between income inequality and credit growth.56 Moreover, over the period 1980-2010, a
large majority of banking crises were preceded by persistently high levels of income
inequality.57 Concerning the United States specifically, one study that investigated the
period 1980-2003 found a “strong positive effect of income inequality in household debt
relative to disposable income as well as the components of the household debt (mortgage
debt, revolving debt, e.g. credit cards, and non-revolving debts, e.g. car loans)”.58 Although
these results seem to confirm the theoretical ideas above, it should be noted that more
empirical research is needed.
Impact of inequalities on social and political stability and growth
37. Inequality may also reduce social and political stability. This creates disincentives
for investment, disruptions in business activity, disunity,59 threats to property and policy
uncertainty and may even raise the probability of coups and mass violence. The result is a
lower level of growth, which consequently provokes higher level of debt. The link between
inequality, political instability and investment has been confirmed by an empirical study
made on 70 countries over the period 1960-1985.60
38. Recent cross-country evidence supports the notion that inequality reduces economic
growth. Based on vast data for both OECD and emerging countries, an IMF study from
53 See P. Krugman, “Inequality and Crises”, New York Times blog “The Conscience of a liberal”, (June
2010), http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/06/28/inequality-and-crises.
54 See Galbraith, Inequality and Instability (footnote 4343. He also identifies mainly financial forces as
the source of growing inequality.
55 See P. Tridico, “Financial crisis and global imbalances: its labor market origins and the aftermath”,
Cambridge Journal of Economics, vol. 36, No. 1 (2012), pp. 17-42.
56 See C. Perugini, J. Hölscher and S. Collie, “Inequality, credit and financial crises”, Cambridge
Journal of Economics (2015), available from
http://cje.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2015/01/05/cje.beu075.full.
57 See G. Bellettini and F. Delbono, “Persistence of high income inequality and banking crises: 1980-
2010”, working paper No. 885 (University of Bologna, Department of Economics, 2013). By contrast,
works by A.B. Atkinson and S. Morelli come to inconclusive results, both for increases and levels of
inequalities; see “Income inequality and banking crisis: a first look”, report prepared for the Global
Labor Forum 2011 (International Labour Organization (ILO), Turin, 2010) and “Inequality and crises
revisited”, working paper No. 387 (Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance, University of
Naples, 2015). They also provide for possible explanations for their outcomes, in particular the choice
of inequality measures and contagion between national economies due to globalization.
58 See M. Christen and R. Morgan, “Keeping up with the Joneses: analyzing the effect of income
inequality on consumer borrowing”, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, vol. 3, No. 2 (2005), pp.
145-173, at 148.
59 See K.H. Park, “Income inequality and economic progress: an empirical test of the institutionalist
approach”, American Journal of Economics and Sociology, vol. 55 No. 1 (1996), pp. 87-97.
60 See A. Alesina and R. Perotti, “Income distribution, political instability, and investment”, European
Economic Review, vol. 40 No. 6 (1996), pp. 1203-1228.
2014 provides a solid case that lower inequality is robustly correlated with faster and more
durable growth.61 A further IMF study supports these conclusions using a sample of 159
advanced, emerging and developing economies. The authors conclude that the income
distribution itself matters for growth. Specifically, if the income share of the top 20 per cent
increases, then GDP growth actually declines over the medium term, suggesting that the
benefits do not trickle down. In contrast, an increase in the income share of the bottom 20
per cent is associated with higher GDP growth.62
B. Impact of financial and sovereign debt crisis on inequalities
39. Financial crises generally have enormous distributional consequences, originating in
several factors.
1. Decline in economic output
40. To start with, financial crises may massively hamper economic growth, principally
because of decline in investment in production, as a result of credit contraction. Banking
crises usually lead to a significant output drop. On average, the real per capita GDP drop
amounts to over 9 per cent, with a recovery time of two years.63An analysis of financial
crises, taking into account both banking and currency crises, has revealed that the average
output loss is 20 per cent of GDP, with a recovery time of three to four years.64 However,
isolated currency crises as such may have mixed effects: they usually increase the price of
imported goods and may lead to a contraction of available credit, considerably encumbering
growth. At the same time, currency crises may also benefit the exporting sector of a
country.
41. The consequences of sovereign-debt crisis on economic growth are difficult to
isolate, as they are generally preceded by or coincide with banking crises. However, there is
a strong negative correlation between extreme levels of sovereign debt or sovereign default
on the one hand and growth on the other. One study, for example, has found that debt crises
lead to significant and long-lasting output losses, reducing output by about 10 per cent after
eight years.65
61 See J. Ostry, J. Berg and C.G. Tsangarides, “Redistribution, inequality and growth”, IMF staff
discussion note No. 14/02 (2014).
62 See E. Dabla-Norris et al, “Causes and consequences of income inequality: a global perspective”,
IMF staff discussion note No. 15/13 (2015).
63 See C.M. Reinhart and K.S. Rogoff, “The aftermath of financial crises”, American Economic Review,
vol. 99 No. 2 (2009), pp. 466-72.
64 See M.D. Bordo et al, “Is the crisis problem growing more severe?”, Economic Policy Vvl. 16 No. 32
(2001), pp. 51-82. The authors also demonstrate that banking and currency crises have become more
frequent in the last quarter of the twentieth century.
65 See D. Furceri and A. Zdzienicka, “How costly are debt crises?”, Journal of International Money and
Finance, vol. 31, No. 4 (2012), pp. 726-742; see also F. Sturzenegger, “Toolkit for the analysis of
debt problems”, Journal of Restructuring Finance, vol. 1 No. 1 (2004), pp. 201-03; and B. De Paoli,
and G. Hoggarth, “Costs of sovereign default”, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, (Q3, 2006),
finding negative correlations between sovereign default and growth. Although some researchers
interpret sovereign default as the beginning of economic recovery, for example, E. Levy Yeyati and
U. Panizza, “The elusive costs of sovereign defaults”, Journal of Development Economics, vol. 94
No. 1 (2011), pp. 95-105, this does not contradict the finding that high increasing levels of sovereign
debt may hamper economic growth, as “the anticipation of a default causes low growth”, ibid.
2. Inflation, unemployment and labour share
42. In addition to this slowdown in economic activity, there are several other channels
through which financial crises affect income and wealth distribution. Currency crises exert
their influence by leading to relative price changes, fiscal retrenchment and changes in
assets.66 Devaluation leads to the aforementioned fall in earnings of those employed in the
non-tradable sector, while it increases the demand for exports and therefore may benefit
employment and earnings in this sector. The poor may also be affected by the price increase
of imported goods, especially food prices. Fiscal retrenchment and public spending cuts
may affect social assistance outlays, amplifying the consequences of the crisis on the poor.
Lastly, changes in the value of assets have an impact on income distribution because
variations in interest rates, assets and real estate prices are more likely to affect the wealth
of the better off.
43. In the aftermath of banking crises, the associated unemployment rate rises on
average by about 7 percentage points, with a duration of over four years.67 Currency crises
also affect the labour share of income.68 The labour share is a key indicator for the
distribution of income in a country: it shows how much of national income is distributed to
labour and how much to capital. Currency crises are associated with a strong fall of the
labour share, which is only partially compensated in the following years. Even the long-
term trend of declining labour share that has been observed for decades may at least partly
be explained by financial crises. This implies consistently growing income inequality, as a
falling labour share means that an ever larger share of the benefits of growth accrues to
owners of capital. This development may be even more significant in developing countries,
where a large share of the capital is held by foreigners.69
3. Growth in poverty
44. In total, currency crises have a magnifying impact on both the spread of poverty and
inequality. Based on the Gini coefficient, one particular study found inequality to increase
by 0.63 per cent relative to the pre-crisis year. Moreover, the association between crises and
income distribution/poverty was stronger when crises were followed by average income
losses. This fall of income accounted for 15-30 per cent of the variations in the poverty and
inequality indicators. The study also found a more-than-proportional fall in the income
share of the lowest income quintiles and an increase in the income share of the highest
quintile.70 Another study concluded that on the average inequality rises by 16.2 per cent in
the two-year period immediately following a currency crisis as opposed to 3.2 per cent in
years without crises.71 The Great Recession, best described as a systemic banking crisis,
which has been followed by a debt crisis, especially in the European Union, has led to
66 See E. Baldacci, L. de Mello and G. Inchauste, “Financial crises, poverty and income distribution”,
IMF working paper No. 02/4 (2002).
67 See C.M. Reinhart and K.S. Rogoff, “The aftermath of financial crises”, American Economic Review,
vol. 99 No. 2 (2009), pp. 466-72.
68 See R. Bazillier and B. Najman, “Labour and Financial Crises: Is Labour paying the price of the
crisis?”, mimeo (2012).
69 See I. Diwan, “Debt as sweat: labor, financial crises, and the globalization of capital”, mimeo
(Washington, D.C., World Bank, 2001); and P. Maarek and E. Orgiazzi, “Currency crises and the
labor share”, Economica vol. 80, No. 319 (2013), pp. 566-588.
70 See Baldacci et al, “Financial crises, poverty and income distribution”, (footnote 66).
71 See J.K. Galbraith and L. Jiaquing, “Inequality and financial crises: some early findings”, working
paper No. 9 (University of Texas, 1999), using the Theil Index, another inequality indicator.
massive inequality jumps. Using the ratio 90 to 10 as a proxy of inequality, United States
income inequalities have risen by 11 per cent between 2007 and 2011.72
45. When assessing the impact of financial crises on inequality, it is necessary to keep
two aspects in mind that may lead to distortions of the outcomes. First, poverty rates may
only be a limited indicator of the scope of the problem, as the number of people falling into
poverty and escaping poverty over the same period may surge, increasing the depth of
poverty, while the poverty rate remains stable. Second, top income earners may experience
a decrease of their revenues in the short run owing to a crisis because of their higher
dependence on capital income. This may explain why the distributional effect of crises is
not always clear in the very short run.
4. Structural factors mitigating social impacts, labour regulations and safety nets
46. However, other factors have significant influence on the size of the effects of
financial crises. For example, it appears that crises raise inequalities more in the most
deregulated labour markets, and financial crises have had worse effects on Latin American
workers than on Asians, and stronger adverse impacts on Asians than on the organized
workers of Northern economies.73 This finding suggests that there is a crucial interaction
between labour market institutions and the specific effects of financial crises.
47. One should also note that the impact of crises on inequalities depends on the existing
social protection system in the country, as well as the level of public spending, which
serves as an automatic stabilizer during a recession. Experiences in the OECD support this
notion: during the period 2007-2009, in the OECD, the household sector in the aggregate
appears to have been well protected from the impact of the downturn. This was possible
because of government intervention through tax and benefit systems in most countries.74
However, consolidation policies implemented after 2010 are likely to have a greater effect
on income distribution.75
5. Impacts of government responses to crises (fiscal consolidation)
48. In most countries, financial crisis is followed by fiscal consolidation, which may
also have a strong distributional impact. Several studies on OECD countries and other
emerging and advanced economies have demonstrated that fiscal consolidation is usually
associated with a rise of inequalities, a fall of the labour share and a rise of long-term
unemployment.76 One study came to the conclusion that 15-20 per cent of the increase in
inequality following a fiscal consolidation is explained by the rise of unemployment.77
Social spending cuts are another substantial contributor to rising inequalities. A 1 per cent
decrease in social spending is associated with a rise of 0.2-0.7 per cent in inequality.78
Crises usually have strong effects on social spending, with lowest income countries being
72 See B.D. Meyer and J.X. Sullivan, “Consumption and income inequality and the great recession”,
American Economic Review, vol. 103, No. 3 (2013), pp. 178-83.
73 Ibid., p. 7.
74 See S.P. Jenkins et al, The Great Recession and the Distribution of Household Income (Oxford,
Oxford University Press, 2013).
75 Ibid.
76 See L. Ball et al, “The distributional effects of fiscal consolidation”, IMF working paper No. 13/151
(Washington, D.C., 2013); J. Woo et al, “Distributional effects of fiscal consolidation and the role of
fiscal policy: what do the data say?” IMF working paper 13/195 (Washington, D.C., 2013).
77 J. Woo et al, “Distributional effects of fiscal consolidation (footnote 76).
78 Ibid.
more likely to cut social spending during crises.79 The Great Recession, for example, has
led to broad and deep cuts in social security spending.80
49. As to debt crises, it is challenging to disentangle the specific effects of default from
those of the stabilization policies, such as those that tend to follow IMF interventions in
developing countries. What seems clear is that IMF programmes are associated with a
worsening of income distribution and a reduction in the incomes of the poorest citizens
when external imbalances were high prior to the programme. These programmes may only
decrease income inequality when external imbalances are less severe.81
50. Dynamics of inequalities in Latin America in the 1980s offer good insights into the
potential distributive impact of debt crises. A study on this region during that decade
provided strong evidence confirming that income inequality “mirrors the economic cycle,
rising during recessions”.82 The costs of the crises have not been borne equally83 and most
adjustment programmes resulted in “overkill” leading to increases in poverty and inequality
beyond what was necessary (and legal).84
6. Social impact of financial crises
51. Financial crises and the austerity measures adopted in response also have a robust
negative social impact that, in turn, perpetuates or exacerbates inequality. The organization
Caritas has summarized that the situation of many households in Europe “remains serious,
as poverty and social exclusion are rising in most member States, affecting particularly the
working age population and, consequently, children. Young people are seriously affected
by labour market exclusion: nearly a quarter of economically active young people in the
European Union are unemployed”.85 In a study, OECD notes that “the numbers living in
households without any income from work have doubled in Greece, Ireland and Spain.
Low-income groups have been hit hardest, as have young people and families with
children”.86 The study also points out the adverse long-term impact of the Great Recession
on families, fertility and health. Drops in fertility rates have already been observed.
Families have cut back essential spending, compromising their current and future well-
being. Furthermore, although it is too early to assess the overall impact on health,
unemployment and connected economic difficulties are known to increase health problems,
including mental illness. Cutbacks in social protection are also likely to increase health
problems. As an illustration, Oxfam reports that 20 per cent of pharmacy clients in Lisbon
79 See M. Lewis and M. Verhoeven , “Financial crises and social spending: the impact of the 2008-2009
crisis”, Other Operational Studies No. 12965 (Washington, D.C., World Bank, 2010).
80 See F. Bonnet, E. Ehmke and K. Hagemejer, “Social security in times of crisis” International Social
Security Review, vol. 63, No. 2 (2010), pp. 47-70, at. 48.
81 See M. Pastor, “The effects of IMF programs in the third world: debate and evidence from Latin
America”, World Development, vol. 15, No. 2 (1987), pp. 249-262; and G. Garuda, “The
distributional effects of IMF programs: a cross-country analysis”, World Development, vol. 28 No.6
(2000), pp. 1031-1051.
82 See G. Psacharopoulos et al, “Poverty and income inequality in Latin America during the 1980s”,
Review of Income and Wealth, vol. 41 No. 3 (1995), pp. 245-264.
83 See N. Lustig, “The 1982 debt crisis, Chiapas, NAFTA, and Mexico’s poor”, Challenge, pp. 45-50
(1995).
84 See L. Gasparini and A. L. Lustig, “The rise and fall of income inequality in Latin America”, working
paper of the Center for Distributive, Labor and Social Studies (2011).
85 “Poverty and inequality on the rise”, Caritas crisis monitoring report 2015, p. 29.
86 See OECD, Society at a Glance 2014: OECD Social Indicators (Paris, 2014), available from
http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/soc_glance-2014-en.
did not complete their whole prescriptions owing to rising costs.87 In a case study on
Greece, Oxfam reports a strong impact of increased poverty and inequality on crime and
suicide rates.88 In Spain, meanwhile, a harsh set of austerity measures has driven a dramatic
uptick in unmet health needs among the poor, wage precariousness, income inequality and
poverty, especially among children.89
52. Similarly, several United Nations bodies have identified the social impact of debt
crises and related structural adjustment programmes.90 Studies by the United Nations
Children’s Fund (UNICEF) have demonstrated that debt-servicing obligations diverted cash
from social welfare programmes with adverse consequences on human development.91
Austerity measures have exacerbated the negative social impact for disadvantaged groups
such as women, children, person with disabilities, older persons, people with HIV/AIDS,
indigenous peoples, ethnic minorities, migrants, refugees and the unemployed, as
documented in a report of the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human
Rights in 2013.92 Overall, adjustment plans without consistent debt reliefs have proven to
be detrimental to human development and human rights, at least in the short term.
Alternatively, substantial debt relief has allowed targeted countries to scale up “poverty-
reducing” expenditures.93
IV. Conclusions and recommendations
A. Conclusions
53. The present report demonstrates that there are manifold linkages between
inequality, private and sovereign debt and the occurrence of financial crises. Although
economic research only recently has turned to this field and many aspects still need to
be examined, a number of important outcomes appear to be established at this stage.
First, there are strong indications that inequality may substantially contribute to and
exacerbate the emergence and the course of financial crises, even if other factors, in
particular financial deregulation, obviously also play a crucial role. Inequality erodes
States’ tax base, thereby impacting sovereign revenues. Inequality also appears to
prompt increased levels of private credit, which in turn may adversely affect sovereign
debt and stability of the financial markets. This phenomenon is mainly explained by
rising credit demand and credit supply. Aggregate underconsumption in conjunction
with corresponding low interest monetary policy may be a contributing factor to an
increased credit supply.
87 See T. Cavero and K. Poinsasamy, “A cautionary tale: the true cost of austerity and inequality in
Europe”, Oxfam briefing paper (2013).
88 See G. Cavero, “The true cost of austerity and inequality in Europe – Greek case study”, Oxfam case
study (2013).
89 See “Visualizing rights: a snapshot of relevant statistics on Spain”, Centre for Economic and Social
Rights fact sheet No. 14 (2015).
90 See E/C.12/ESP/CO/5; E/C.12/GRC/CO/2; E/C.12/PRT/CO/4; A/HRC/25/Add.1; UNICEF,
“Austerity measures threaten children and poor households”, working paper (September 2011);
UNICEF, Children of the Recession: The impact of the economic crisis on child well-being in rich
countries (New York, 2014); and ILO, World Social Protection Report 2014-15 (Geneva, 2014).
91 See G.A. Cordia, R. Jolly and F. Stewart, Adjustment with a Human Face, Vol. II, (Clarendon Press,
Oxford, 1988).
92 E/2013/82.
93 See A/HRC/23/37.
54. Second, according to most studies, financial crises and the subsequent policy
measures commonly implemented to alleviate their consequences, for example, fiscal
retrenchment and stabilization policies, enhance inequalities, with devastating social
consequences. A debt crisis may have a massive depressive impact on output, which
may in turn affect the level of inequality. Most studies also concur that financial crises
result in an increase in income inequality. Fiscal consolidation following a sovereign
debt overhang may also have strong distributional consequences, both directly and
indirectly, for example, through the increase in the unemployment rate and social
spending cuts. The social effects of crises, hitting in particular the most vulnerable,
are often catastrophic, with widespread poverty, the emergence of health issues, rising
unemployment, to name only a few common problems.
55. The report has traced the numerous social and human rights dimensions of
inequality and outlined corresponding human rights obligations of States. The finding
that inequality may contribute to the occurrence of financial crises, which in turn
exacerbate inequality and adversely affect human rights, has far reaching policy and
legal implications. It underscores that human rights, social and economic aspects are
inseparably intertwined, calling for a holistic approach to preventing and confronting
financial crises. The report suggests that financial crises may not be prevented
without addressing the contributing human rights shortcomings, including those
connected to inequality. The same is true for crisis-response measures: any reaction to
financial crises that neglects the effects on human rights and inequality does not only
run afoul of human rights duties and responsibilities but also risks creating the same
problems again and again, preventing any economically sustainable future. This lends
additional urgency to the international community’s commitment to reducing
inequality reflected in Goal 10 of the Sustainable Development Goals.
B. Recommendations
56. Preventing and responding to financial crises and combating inequalities must
thus go hand in hand. Hence, policymakers must ensure that they tackle dangerous
destabilizing developments in the financial sphere while addressing inequality
directly.
1. Financial markets regulation
57. States and the international community should urgently implement financial
market reforms in order to combat and prevent financial instability, excessive debt
and financial crises. The current prerogatives of largely unregulated global financial
markets lead to instability both within many countries and on international markets,
making financial crises much more likely. They undermine accountability and
endanger democratic representation. Policymakers should use a mix of tools to ensure
appropriate global and domestic financial market regulation with the aim of curbing
excessive credit growth. This mix should include measures of prudential regulation,
debt sustainability analysis and capital controls. In order to better fulfil its guiding
function for policymaking, debt sustainability analyses should incorporate inequality
as a crucial factor, making sure that the debtor States are able to achieve the
Sustainable Development Goals and their human rights obligations.
2. Labour policies
58. Labour market institutions provide for powerful instruments for improving
pre-tax income equality and should widely be employed. States should not shy away
from robust wage legislation, including introducing or raising minimum wages and
legislation to ensure equal pay between genders. Moreover, it is crucial to safeguard
sufficient bargaining power of the workforce. States should thus ensure that strong
collective bargaining mechanisms are in place and may be used without interference.
States should also make compliance with minimum wage and work conditions a
precondition for eligibility to supply goods or services to public bodies.94 In addition,
in order to sustainably combat the widening of the wealth gap States should develop
and strengthen frameworks encouraging and supporting small savings.
3. Fiscal policies
59. Inequalities can be reduced through taxation and transfers, the latter including
in cash and in kind.95 In the field of taxation, there are numerous ways for addressing
inequalities. 16
To start with, it is crucial to rely more on direct than indirect taxes as
the latter tend to be regressive or proportional to incomes.96 This is particularly true
for excise duties and taxes.97
60. Income taxation needs to be aligned with a number of principles. First and
foremost, tax progressivity is an important factor in fostering increased equality and
should therefore be a prominent guiding principle of income taxation. Trends in the
most recent decades of decreasing progressivity have massively contributed to the
widening of the wealth and income gap. Moreover, tax progressivity decreases the
probability of financial crises and default. The top marginal income tax rate should
thus be considerably higher than what is currently common.98 The minimum taxable
income must always be above the poverty line.
61. In general, States should take care that capital income does not receive
privileged treatment compared to income from labour, as is currently prevalent in
many States. Obviously, this may call for amendments to applicable tax laws, but
changes in other parts of the States’ legal systems may also contribute to ending the
special status of capital income, as described below.
62. Another important step towards increased equality should be to phase out
certain tax deductions and excessive and unjustified tax privileges applicable to
certain sources of income and sectors. Such privileges usually benefit the high earners
disproportionally and thus foil progressive taxation.
94 See A. B. Atkinsons, Inequality: What can be done? (Cambridge, Massachusetts, Harvard University
Press, 2015), pp. 147-153.
95 See the report of the Secretary-General on the role of the United Nations in promoting a new global
human order and an assessment of the implications of inequality for development (A/67/394), para.
56, in which he exhorts that governments “may wish to consider a combination of progressive income
taxes and highly redistributive transfers to decrease income inequality and its impact on social
development”.
96 See “Fiscal policy and income”, IMF policy paper (January 2014), p. 18; C. O’Donoaghue,
M. Baldini, and D. Mantovani, “Modelling the redistributive impact of indirect taxes in Europe: an
application of EUROMOD”, Euromod working paper No. EM7/01 (Colchester, University of Essex,
2004); and S. Cnossen, Theory and Practice of Excise Taxation: Smoking, Drinking, Gambling,
Polluting, and Driving (Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2005).
97 See IMF, “Fiscal policy and income” (footnote 96).
98 In J. Stiglitz, The Price of Inequality: How Today’s Divided Society Endangers Our Future (New
York, W.W. Norton and Company, 2012) pp. 273 ff., the author suggests that the top marginal tax
rate should be well in excess of 50 per cent and plausibly in excess of 70 per cent; in A.B. Atkinson,
in “Inequality: What can be done?” (footnote 94), pp. 179 ff., the author promotes a top marginal tax
rate of 65 per cent.
63. Introducing a wealth tax is another measure States should consider. Against the
backdrop of increasing inequality, wealth taxes have recently found new attention99
and may provide another way for increasing tax revenues while also fostering
equality. States should also reassess other forms of taxation of property, including the
transfer of assets. Broadening the tax base this way, and by closing loopholes in the
tax code, has the benefit of improving both efficiency and equity.100
64. Furthermore, States should put an emphasis on fighting tax evasion and
avoidance.101 Tax loopholes used by wealthy individuals and multinational companies
must be closed. Corporate tax minimizing strategies need to be addressed urgently.
For this to be sufficiently effective, and in order to avoid detrimental outcomes for
States advancing with such efforts, the work in this field, as in others discussed before,
needs to be international in its scope.
65. Simultaneously, the findings of the report call for consistent public spending
policies that ensure full compliance with the human rights obligations of the States.
Such policies must first and foremost ensure that the human rights of the poorest and
most vulnerable be respected, protected and fulfilled. They also must include decisive
steps towards reversing the trend towards increasing inequality within and among
States.
66. It is of utmost importance that States provide and progressively extend social
protection floors, in accordance with the Social Protection Floor Initiative, the ILO
Social Protection Floors Recommendation, 2012 (No. 202), and Goal 1.3 of the
Sustainable Development Goals.102 This entails at a minimum that “all in need have
access to essential health care and to basic income security”,103 in particular for
socially disadvantaged groups. However, States are under the obligation to work
progressively towards the full realization of economic, social and cultural rights, using
the maximum of the available resources. Consequently, States must continue further
developing and extending their social systems, if resources permit. Cuts in social
spending, and particularly social security and unemployment benefits, may only be
made in cases of absolute necessity, after the most careful consideration of all
alternatives, which may include tax reforms, 16
and only if they are duly justified by
reference to the totality of the rights provided for in the Covenant in the context of the
full use of the State party’s maximum available resources (duty of non-
retrogression).104
67. Public spending must be structured in a way that it benefits mostly persons and
groups in need. Despite great efforts of many States and the international community,
redistributive policies favour all too often the haves rather than the have-nots,
99 See Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century (footnote 4).
100 See F. Cingano, “Trends in income inequality and its impact on economic growth”, OECD Social,
Employment and Migration Working Papers No. 163 (2014), para. 58.
101 See the report of the Independent Expert (A/HRC/31/61).
102 See the report of the Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, Philip Alston, in
which a thorough analysis of the linkages between social protection and human rights is provided
(A/69/297), and Human Rights Council resolution 25/11.
103 Sec. 4 ILO Social Protection Floors Recommendation, 2012 (No. 202).
104 See Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, general comment No. 3, para. 9.
widening the income and wealth gap and making highly inefficient use of financial
resources.105
4. Other measures
68. Apart from more direct actions against inequality, States should have a focus
on measures with strong medium- and long-term effects. Investment in education and
the development of skills should be of highest priority, as it has robust and significant
positive impacts on equality of opportunity, social mobility and long-term growth. 100
Furthermore, ensuring equal, affordable access to the courts and legal advice and
representation, the establishment of low-cost dispute settlement mechanisms, a robust
legislation on political parties financing and promoting a pluralistic mass media
system, and strong consumer protection mechanisms should be on the agenda.
69. Finally, States and the international community should explore further avenues
for reforming parts of their legal systems that appear to have a tendency towards
unduly favouring capital owners and the wealthy.106 Making adjustments to existing
structures might be an efficient way for achieving necessary change without facing a
similar degree of resistance than introducing, for example, new taxes.
5. Crisis response
70. It cannot be stressed too often that any response to financial crises, in
particular sovereign debt crises, must fully comply with human rights law. In her
report, the former Independent Expert on human rights and extreme poverty,
Magdalena Sepúlveda Carmona, has already provided very detailed
recommendations for such human rights compliant crises responses.107 This report
therefore focuses on highlighting only very few important aspects of relevance in the
context of inequalities and financial crises. Fiscal stability and GDP may not be the
sole targets of adjustment and may not overrule, suspend or dilute existing human
rights obligations and responsibilities. Preserving economic, social and cultural rights,
including the right to work social security, health, housing and education must be
ensured.108 Socioeconomic inequalities must be fully taken into account when
implementing crises response measures. While certain spending cuts may be
temporarily necessary, the States concerned must always respect the boundaries set
by the duty of non-retrogression. They must ensure, to the extent possible, that social
spending is affected last and the least. Rather, the States concerned should strongly
focus on finding and creating progressive ways of increasing revenues. The protection
of vulnerable groups must have the highest priority, calling, for example, for
exemptions from cuts or even the implementation of new social protection
programmes. The recent experiences of Iceland evidence that this approach is realistic
and can yield fruitful results.109
105 See A. Nieto Ramos, El efecto de las pensiones sobre la desiguadad de ingresos en Colombia
(Bogotá, Universidad de los Andes, 2014). See also “Política fiscal y derechos humanos en las
Américas” (footnote 16), p. 21.
106 See S-L Hsu, “The rise and rise of the one per cent: considering legal causes of wealth inequality”,
Emory Law Journal Online, vol. 64, pp. 2043-2072 (2015).
107 See A/HRC/17/34.
108 See the end-of-mission statement of the Independent Expert of his mission to Greece, December 8
2015, available from www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?
NewsID=16852&LangID=E.
109 See the report of the Independent Expert on his mission to Iceland (A/HRC/28/59/Add.1).
71. Crises responses, including any agreements between creditors and debtor
States should comply with the principles of transparency, accountability and
participation. Structural adjustment measures should be subjected to robust human
rights impact assessments, both before the implementation and at regular intervals
after. Both, creditors and debtors must honour their human rights obligations and
responsibilities in their response to debt crises. This may include agreeing on
sufficient debt relief in order to avert human rights violations and an exacerbation of
inequality.